BRBear River Walnut RanchNBRNorth Bear River Walnut RanchGGGilbert GroveAbeAbe RanchDunbarDunbar
BR
NBR
GG
Abe
Dunbar
Production per acre
Chandler acres
554
124
7.5
37
14
Loads (graded)
55
9
1
4
1
Tons per acre
2.48
1.80
2.30
2.33
0.87
Edible lb per acre
2,142
1,608
1,961
2,051
730
Value per acre
$3,526
$2,626
$3,158
$3,322
$1,153
Value per delivered lb
$0.709
$0.730
$0.687
$0.712
$0.664
Grade, ranked by how far apart the ranches are
Light kernels % 3.9 SD
94
91
84
87
75
Adhering hull % 3.1 SD
0.3
0.5
0.0
2.7
0.0
Split and broken % 2.8 SD
2.0
1.9
3.0
6.5
1.0
Weight of 100 nuts g 2.7 SD
1,058
1,189
1,234
—
—
Shrivel /100 2.6 SD
0.6
0.7
3.0
3.5
4.0
Jumbo % 2.5 SD
57
75
81
74
85
Insect /100 2.4 SD
0.2
0.0
1.0
1.7
1.0
Edible yield % 2.3 SD
43.1
44.7
42.7
43.9
42.0
Serious defects /100 1.9 SD
2.5
2.6
6.0
6.9
7.0
Mold /100 0.7 SD
1.6
1.9
2.0
1.6
1.0
Moisture at grading % 0.3 SD
7.5
7.5
7.6
7.4
—
Green is better than the average Chandler load this season, amber is worse; the deeper the color, the farther from average. Grades are weighted by pounds. "SD" is how far apart the best and worst ranch averages sit, in units of the ordinary load-to-load spread: 1 SD or more is a real difference, under 0.5 is noise.
Value prices every ranch the same way so they can be compared: edible pounds at ShoEi's 2025 Chandler base of $1.58 plus the 2025 adjustment for % light, before assessments. It is not what Alpine or Carriere will pay.
What separates the ranches
Each tick is one load; the dots are ranch averages. The biggest differences are first.
Light kernels %3.9 SD · higher is better
GG 84%: better than 3% of our loads · Abe 87%: better than 9% of our loads · Dunbar 75%: worse than every one of our loads
Adhering hull %3.1 SD · lower is better
GG 0.0%: better than 60% of our loads · Abe 2.7%: worse than every one of our loads · Dunbar 0.0%: better than 60% of our loads
Split and broken %2.8 SD · lower is better
GG 3.0%: better than 24% of our loads · Abe 6.5%: better than 2% of our loads · Dunbar 1.0%: better than 72% of our loads
Weight of 100 nuts g2.7 SD · higher is better
GG 1,234 g: better than every one of our loads
Shrivel /1002.6 SD · lower is better
GG 3.0 /100: better than 2% of our loads · Abe 3.5 /100: better than 2% of our loads · Dunbar 4.0 /100: better than 2% of our loads
In the dryer
BR
NBR
GG
Abe
Dunbar
Loads dried
260
113
3
15
3
Moisture at fill %
37.3
35.1
24.9
37.3
40.0
Hours to 8.2% (median) h
23.7
18.2
10.9
12.0
10.9
Dryness at send %
7.4
7.4
7.0
6.2
7.3
Handler dryness %
7.5
7.4
7.6
7.5
—
Handler minus ours pts
-0.02
+0.03
+0.58
+1.29
—
Burner hours per load h
18.8
6.2
13.1
11.1
9.4
From every load that went through our dryer this season, whatever the variety. Hours to 8.2% is from fill to the first probe reading at or under 8.2%. Handler dryness is ShoEi's for our ranches and Gilbert Grove, Carriere's for Abe Ranch and Alpine Nut's for Dunbar, where we have it.
Load map
Every graded Chandler load (70) placed by eight grade measures at once: edible yield, light, jumbo, serious defects, mold, shrivel, split and broken, adhering hull. Loads that grade alike sit together. Right and up are better.
Axis 1 (38% of the differences between loads): less serious defects, more light kernels, less shrivel. Axis 2 (20%): more edible yield, more adhering hull, less mold.
Rings mark the center of a ranch with more than one load. Small faint dots are our loads; large dots are the neighbors'.
Read with care
Gilbert Grove has one graded load. One load is a single draw, not a ranch average; treat its grade as provisional.
Dunbar has one graded load. One load is a single draw, not a ranch average; treat its grade as provisional.
Tons per acre counts only loads with a grade sheet or receiving ticket, over Chandler acres in the block table; a ranch still harvesting will read low until its last load is in.
Only Chandler is compared. North Bear River's Durham, Solano and Serr are left out because no other ranch grows them.
Grade sheets come from three handlers (ShoEi, Alpine, Carriere) graded by DFA. Alpine reports split and broken as one figure and does not report extra light, moisture or nut weight, so those rows are blank for Dunbar.
